老汉预测18年鸡价必将大涨,不信走着瞧

2017年年大吉却成了鸡年打劫了,养鸡户苦不堪言,蛋价一路下滑,直冲谷底,直接赔的底朝天,但依旧一堆的散户再死死支撑,为啥呢,因为搭进去的都是全部家当,如果从此不再养鸡,欠银行的贷款靠打工得打几辈子才能还的清,只能存在侥幸心里,指望着有朝一日,彻底翻盘,能得救一把。

今年以来,鸡蛋价格跌的惨不忍睹,让所有的养殖户伤的体无完肤,很多有经验的养殖户们,不得不离开养殖事业。不过自上周四开始,全国蛋价格均价开启了上涨的征程,到目前为止,有部分养殖户反映,鸡蛋一天几个价的在上涨,这给水深火热中的养殖户带来了希望,整个养鸡业沸腾了!?

portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>portant; word-wrap:
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rgb;”>个人感觉2018年,没有被淘汰的散户,应该是获利丰厚的portant;
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!important;”>,为哈呢,本人没啥文化,但会拿往年的价格对比对比,任何事情都是有规可循的,自从第一次闹腾H7N9,折腾一次,才有了后来的火箭蛋,鸡蛋价格直冲云霄,portant;
word-wrap: break-word !important; color:
rgb;”>有高峰自然会有低谷

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portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>portant; word-wrap:
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word-wrap: break-word !important; color:
rgb;”>不但H7N9,关闭活禽市场,还要加上史上最严厉的环保禁养,这就意味着一批散户将彻底被淘汰,很难重新走入养殖行业了,这和以往还不一样,以往这批被淘汰了,后一批行情好了照样可以卷土重来,但这次得清理个干干净净,所以提高了养殖的门槛,一堆散户将会被拒之门外。

portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>

portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>portant; word-wrap:
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!important;”>这将保证了供的数量大大减少,而另一方面,随着H7N9疫苗的产生,有了一层根本的保障,消费者将不再会谈禽色变,使家禽的销售走回正常的轨道上来,这也就意味着求的数量大大增加。

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rgb;”>分析蛋价上涨的原因主要有以下几点:

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rgb;”>一是多数散养户的逐渐退出使在产蛋鸡数量整体有了明显的下降;因5月中下旬蛋价长期位于2.00元/斤以下,蛋鸡养殖亏损程度重,为减少损失,养殖单位多积极淘汰老鸡,部分地区在产蛋鸡存栏量较前期减少20%-30%

portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>portant; word-wrap:
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!important;”>说到这里,估计大家都明白了,求的数量增加,供的数量减少,自然价格就上来了,portant;
word-wrap: break-word !important; color:
rgb;”>所以我分析2018年必将是大涨的一年,而且没有被淘汰的这批养殖户,是经过洗礼后的养殖户,必将获利。

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portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>portant; word-wrap:
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rgb;”>以上就是我的分析,仅供参考!

portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>portant; word-wrap:
break-word !important; color:
rgb;”>二是随着天气越来越热,在热应激的影响下,整体上产蛋水平下降明显,也一定程度上减少了鸡蛋的供应量;

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portant; word-wrap: break-word !important;”>portant; word-wrap:
break-word !important; color:
rgb;”>三是随着气温的升高,H7N9病毒也得到了抑制,鸡蛋的需求量保持一定的稳定。

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